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January 23rd, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Rick Rieder Odds for BlackRock's Rick Rieder to be nominated for Fed Chair have 10X'd since December. Kevin Warsh still leads overall, but Trump recently said he is "down to maybe one" in his search to replace Powell. |
 The Egg Man Polymarket trader @xcnstrategy has 6X'd his bankroll by trading one of the year's most volatile asset classes. |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? View market → | 8%-1% |
| Will Belgium join the Board of Peace? View market → | 14%-17% |
| Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon? View market → | 56%+15% |
| Trump approval rating on January 23? | 12h |
| Next President of Vietnam | 1d |
| Next Prime Minister of Vietnam | 1d |
| What will be the top US Netflix movie this week? | 3d |
| Number of TSA Passengers January 29? | 17h ago |
| How many Oscars will "Marty Supreme" win? | 18h ago |
| Hot Polymarkets | 24H Volume |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | $5.85M |
| Fed decision in January? | $9.67M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | $2.38M |
| Which company has the best AI model end of January? | $1.09M |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner | 177d |
| Super Bowl Champion 2026 | 16d |
Whale Moves | "No" Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | $200.2K |
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| "No" Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)? | $99.9K |
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| "No" Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | $100.6K |
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Last Word🔮 AI OVERLORDS These three Polymarket traders have an uncanny knack for predicting where AI is going next. Here are their next big trades. |
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1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S. |
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