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Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're monitoring today:  Oscars Upset? The Oscars Best Actor polymarket saw a major shakeup following Michael B. Jordan's surprise SAG Awards win over TimothΓ©e Chalamet. 18 of the past 20 SAG winners have gone on to win the Oscars. This trader, @mwenya, is already up 106% on their Jordan shares. What other Oscars plays are they making? |
| Will Hillary say "Survivor" during her Epstein testimony? View market → | 0%-1% |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? View market → | 33%-11% |
| Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? View market → | 84%-14% |
| War Powers resolution passes the Senate? | 12h |
| Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? | 1d |
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| GPT-5.4 released by...? | 16h ago |
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| Hot Polymarkets | 24H Volume |
| Fed decision in March? | $6.29M |
| Next Supreme Leader of Iran? | $3.05M |
| Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner | $1.53M |
| English Premier League Winner | 82d |
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