December 5th, 2025 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. All the situations we're monitoring today: Warner Bros Warner Brothers Discovery, parent company of HBO, has put itself up for sale, with Netflix emerging as the winning bidder with a ~$70b bid. The two companies are now in exclusive negotiations, but there's still a real chance the deal collapses. |
More Cut With five days left until the December Fed meeting, traders are increasingly confident we'll get another quarter point rate cut. Weakening jobs data seems to have focused the minds of a divided Fed, with the odds turning decisively after NY Fed President John Williams' Nov 21 speech calling for "further adjustment in the near term." |
Pokemon Cards Kabuto is a brown, crabby-looking Pokemon whose "Scratch" attack inflicts 30 damage. It's also one of the fastest appreciating Pokemon cards on the market, with its mint condition first edition cards more than 10Xing in value to ~$40 since September. Can it hit $100 by 2026? |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5? View market → | 83%+79% |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza "Board of Peace" in 2025? View market → | 45%+27% |
| "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office | 3d |
| Elon Musk # tweets December 2 - December 9, 2025? | 4d |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | 6h ago |
| Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner? | 12h ago |
| Who will advance from the California Governor primary? | 13h ago |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 28 - December 5, 2025? | $4.00M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | $2.25M |
| Time 2025 Person of the Year | $1.95M |
| Trail Blazers vs. Pistons | 12h |
| Super Bowl Champion 2026 | 65d |
Whale Moves | $154,882 position on No "Xi Jinping out in 2025" | $154.9K |
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That's all for today. If you're waiting for the launch of Polymarket USA, make sure you're on the wait list. Get Priority Access 🦅 |
