 My name is Porter Stansberry. I’m the founder of one of the largest financial research firms in the world. Over the last 26 years we’ve helped investors navigate almost every major economic cycle. We’ve also been on the forefront of every big financial story from the rise of Bitcoin and MRNA vaccines to robotics and artificial intelligence – just to name a few. But today, I’m breaking the biggest story of my career… An economic story the likes of which we’ve not seen in centuries. In fact, the last – and only time – this happened was in 1776. But now, on the eve of America’s 250th anniversary, it’s happening again. And as you’ll discover today, the aftershock of this event could “reset” not just your personal wealth, but the entire U.S. economic system: How you work, how you vote, how you protect and build your wealth… it’s all being turned upside down by what one famous Stanford economist says is: “The biggest change ever… bigger than electricity… bigger than the steam engine.” Yet almost nobody is prepared for it. So, if you’ve been watching the chaos of the past year unfold, struggling to understand what it all means… you’re about to get many - if not all - of the answers you’ve been searching for. And, most importantly, what it all means for you, your money, and your investment portfolio in the months ahead Because as you’ll discover, everything from the government taking stakes in companies like Intel, Lithium Americas, and MP Materials. To Trump’s strike on Venezuela… his deal with Greenland… his seemingly never-ending slew of executive orders… and increasingly centralized grip over the economy… All the way to the surging popularity of radical socialist politicians like Bernie Sanders, AOC, and Zohran Mamdani… It’s all deeply and inexorably intertwined in what is, without a doubt, the most consequential story of the year. A turning point that one Nobel Prize winner says is dividing not just the economy but our entire society. And, as my guest and I explain, the financial decisions you make in the face of this New 1776 Moment… they could dictate whether you’re enriched, left stuck in the past, or potentially even impoverished by the seismic changes barreling down upon America. The stocks to buy… the stocks to sell… and the three money moves to ensure you and your loved ones end up on the winning side of this new economic reality. It’s all laid out here for you… 
Good investing, Porter Stansberry
Special Report Market Crash Warning? Wall Street Veteran Says Mid-March Could Mark a Turning PointWritten by Bridget Bennett. Originally Published: 3/11/2026. 
Key Points- Marc Chaikin, founder and CEO of Chaikin Analytics, says the midterm year has historically been the weakest phase of the presidential cycle, with peaks often forming in mid-March to early April.
- Even if indexes are near highs, internal weakness in speculative and large-cap tech can show up first and foreshadow broader downside.
- Preparation matters: build cash, trim weak holdings, and watch key technical levels to stay flexible if volatility rises.
- Special Report: Can Any Expenses Be Deducted From Capital Gains Tax? (From SmartAsset)
When asked about the market outlook heading into mid‑March, Wall Street veteran Marc Chaikin said current conditions are unfolding much as he predicted a year ago. Chaikin, the founder and CEO of Chaikin Analytics, has more than 50 years of experience in the stock market and is known for blending fundamental and technical analysis. His current warning is rooted in the presidential election cycle, one of the market's longest‑tracked seasonal patterns. Historically, the second year of a presidential term—often called the midterm year—has been the weakest stretch for equities. A major force in the crypto world is quietly becoming one of gold's most aggressive buyers — and most investors have no idea it's happening.
A longtime gold analyst says profits from a leading stablecoin operation are being funneled into physical gold at a scale that could materially impact supply and demand. After a recent meeting with insiders, he began outlining what this trend could mean for gold prices and a small group of companies positioned to benefit. Read the full gold briefing here Looking at the last 17 presidential cycles, dating to the 1950s: - The second year of the cycle averaged just a 1% gain in the S&P 500.
- The other three years averaged double‑digit returns.
- Market peaks during midterm years often occur between mid‑March and early April.
That timing window is exactly where the market finds itself now. Historical patterns don't guarantee future outcomes, but Chaikin says they provide a useful framework for understanding probabilities—especially when other warning signs are emerging. Markets Trading on Expectations, Not FundamentalsRecent volatility highlights how sensitive markets have become to headlines and geopolitical developments. Oil prices rising above $100 per barrel have reignited inflation concerns, while weak employment data suggests the economy may need lower interest rates. That combination presents a difficult dilemma for the Federal Reserve. Normally, rising inflation would push the Fed to raise rates, while weakening employment would argue for cuts. With both pressures occurring at once, the central bank's flexibility may be limited. Geopolitical tensions and rapidly shifting headlines add to the uncertainty. Real‑time information—often amplified through social media and political messaging—can prompt algorithmic trading systems to react instantly, accelerating short‑term market swings. The result is an environment driven less by fundamentals and more by short‑term reactions and uncertainty. Weakness Already Appearing Beneath the SurfaceDespite the recent volatility, the broader market remains relatively close to its highs: the S&P 500 is only about 2% below its peak. For context, a correction is typically defined as a 10%–20% decline, while a bear market generally requires a 20% drop. However, Chaikin says many popular stocks are already struggling. Several of the so‑called Magnificent Seven—a handful of mega‑cap tech leaders—account for roughly one‑third of the S&P 500's market value, and a number of them are already in steep downtrends. Investors heavily exposed to tech through ETFs or individual holdings like Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) may be experiencing losses far larger than the overall index suggests. Another important signal comes from the ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA: ARKK), often used as a proxy for speculative technology stocks. That fund has already fallen about 28% from its October highs, suggesting risk appetite may be fading. These internal cracks often appear before the broader market begins to decline. 3 Ways Investors Can Protect Their PortfoliosRather than trying to predict exactly what will happen next, Chaikin emphasizes preparation. If markets move into a correction or bear phase, investors who plan ahead will be better positioned. 1. Raise Cash to a "Sleeping Level"The first step is simple: raise cash. Chaikin suggests holding enough cash so you can remain calm if markets decline sharply. For many portfolios, that means roughly 15% to 25% in cash. The goal isn't to exit the market completely but to create a cushion. Cash serves two important purposes: - It reduces emotional pressure during declines.
- It provides dry powder to take advantage of opportunities later.
Investors who stay fully invested during downturns often feel forced to sell at the worst possible moment. 2. Sell Weak Stocks FirstIf you need cash, a logical place to start is selling your weakest holdings. Chaikin recommends trimming stocks that exhibit bearish characteristics in quantitative models such as the Chaikin Power Gauge, which evaluates companies on 20 fundamental and technical factors. Stocks already showing bearish signals near market highs are often the most vulnerable during corrections, while stronger areas may remain resilient. Chaikin highlighted sectors currently demonstrating relative strength, including healthcare, aerospace and defense, energy, and infrastructure tied to data center expansion. Rather than automatically buying the dip, investors may benefit from focusing on industry groups with strong momentum and fundamentals. 3. Watch Key Technical LevelsTechnical indicators can provide early clues about the market's direction. One widely watched signal is the 200‑day moving average of the S&P 500. Many traders view it as a dividing line between longer‑term uptrends and downtrends. If the index holds above the 200‑day, pullbacks often stay contained; a decisive break below it can signal that selling pressure is widening and that a routine dip may be turning into something more serious. Other gauges, such as the VIX volatility index, have already spiked in recent sessions. While volatility can create short‑term buying opportunities, sustained spikes often accompany periods of market stress. Why the Best Opportunity May Come LaterDespite the cautious outlook, Chaikin remains optimistic. Midterm years have often produced some of the best buying opportunities in the presidential cycle. Markets frequently bottom in late September or early October after months of volatility, then launch into powerful rallies. In some cases, gains following those lows have averaged more than 40% over the next 15 months. That's why preparation now can matter more than prediction. Investors who maintain cash during volatile periods have the flexibility to act when prices reset. Those who stay fully invested through a sharp downturn may instead be forced to react at exactly the wrong moment. For now, the market hasn't entered bear territory—but several warning signs are emerging beneath the surface. With historical patterns pointing to a weaker midterm year and geopolitical uncertainty adding to volatility, this may be a time to focus on strengthening portfolios rather than chasing short‑term moves. If history repeats itself, the turbulence of 2026 may not just test investors' patience—it could ultimately create one of the most attractive buying opportunities of the entire market cycle.
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