A massive financial crisis is coming... Goldman Sachs says it could be as bad as 2008 – while government officials warned we have just 60 days to prepare. When it hits, the chaos could be unlike anything seen in America since the darkest days of the 1970s. And that's why the White House recently made a radical decision to save our country... Get the full story here.
Sixty years ago, Marc Chaikin aced a Wall Street psychological test by finding a single different character in two identical phone book pages... in four seconds. That same pattern-recognition ability led him to build the indicator that's now inside every Bloomberg terminal in the world. But today it's showing him something alarming in America's most popular AI stocks. He's calling it a "slipping point," and most investors won't see it coming until it's too late. For the full story, click here.
Nvidia Faced Strong Headwinds Before Its Earnings Report
We all saw other tech giants in the field report massive earnings beats – only to have their stocks pummeled by weary investors.
You'll also recall that the Power Gauge had previously flashed four separate sell alerts for the Nvidia in recent months.
And since my February 6 essay, the stock has traded mostly sideways. It closed that day at $185.41 per share. On Friday, NVDA shares closed at $177.19.
I also noted that the "smart money" on Wall Street had been wary of the stock during most of January – and that's still the case now.
Meanwhile, Nvidia's relative strength versus the S&P 500 Index has still been mostly weak.
The chart below tells the story...
You'll also note that Nvidia's stock has struggled to move above its long-term trend line. That happened just one time during the past three months – and it barely lasted.
That was last Wednesday... the day Nvidia reported its earnings after the markets closed.
But we know what happened next, folks...
Nvidia fell hard the next day. And the drop put the stock back below its long-term trend line.
Today, Nvidia still gets a "neutral+" overall grade in the Power Gauge.
To be clear, "neutral+" isn't a bad rating. It simply refers to a "bullish" or better stock that trades below its long-term trend line – like Nvidia.
But as I just said, Nvidia hasn't managed to stay above its long-term trend line recently.
And the stock's growth leaves a lot to be desired. Over the past three months, it's roughly flat.
That's on par with the State Street SPDR S&P 500 Fund (SPY) over the same time frame.
Put simply, the Power Gauge says that Nvidia isn't a bad stock right now. Our system doesn't give it an outright "bearish" rating.
But right now, the stock's "neutral+" rating and failure to keep its price above its long-term trend line mean that you can find better opportunities for your money out there.
Good investing,
Ethan Goldman
Market View
Major Indexes and Notable Sectors
# Hld: Bullish Neutral Bearish
Dow 30
-1.05%
6
20
4
S&P 500
-0.48%
119
292
87
Nasdaq
-0.32%
23
50
27
Small Caps
-1.72%
525
1000
360
Bonds
+0.61%
Health Care
+1.77%
22
28
10
— According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks are somewhat Bullish. Major indexes are mixed.
* * * *
Sector Tracker
Sector movement over the last 5 days
Utilities
+3.02%
Consumer Staples
+2.41%
Health Care
+2.16%
Energy
+1.9%
Communication
+1.07%
Materials
+0.85%
Real Estate
+0.64%
Industrials
-0.05%
Consumer Discretionary
-0.5%
Information Technology
-1.5%
Financial
-2.02%
* * * *
Industry Focus
Regional Banking Services
50
88
6
Over the past 6 months, the Regional Banking subsector (KRE) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -4.54%. However, its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Strong, with more Bullish than Bearish stocks. It is currently ranked #3 of 21 subsectors and has moved down 2 slots over the past week.
Top Stocks
BOH
Bank of Hawaii Corpo
AMAL
Amalgamated Financia
BOKF
BOK Financial Corpor
* * * *
Top Movers
Gainers
DELL
+21.93%
PSKY
+20.84%
XYZ
+16.82%
NFLX
+13.77%
AES
+6.34%
Losers
UAL
-8.7%
APO
-8.57%
AXP
-7.88%
GS
-7.47%
DAL
-6.82%
* * * *
Earnings Report
Earnings Surprises
DK Delek US Holdings, Inc.
Q4
$2.31
Beat by $2.50
GSAT Globalstar, Inc.
Q4
$-0.06
Missed by $-0.07
CLMT Calumet, Inc.
Q4
$-0.18
Beat by $0.28
* * * *
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