¡Rubio!

January 5th, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Top Stories ¡Rubio! Marco Rubio's profile has dramatically increased following the weekend's Venezuela operation, and so have his 2028 chances. Odds for Rubio to become the 2028 Republican nominee have doubled in recent days. Interestingly, this move has not come at the expense of Vance. The biggest losers from Rubio's rise have been Ron DeSantis, and Donald Trumps, Jr and Sr. Read more → Khamenei Packing his Bags? Odds for Iran's Supreme Leader to leave power in 2026 are up 30% in the last week as mass protests have spread to several major cities. But the bigger repricing is around Israel and America's appetite to get involved militarily. Odds for an Israeli strike on Iran by end of June spiked above 50% yesterday. Check odds → Who Runs Venezuela? With Maduro in U.S. custody, Vice President Delcy Rodríguez has been sworn in with military backing and has emerged as the favorite to control the country through 2026. Other leading candidates include Edmundo González, the rightful winner of the 2024 election, and recent Nobel Prize winner María Corina Machado. Trump has stated that Washington will be truly "running" the country during a transition, and there is no firm date for elections yet. Check odds → ​ Breaking News Odds US strike on Colombia by January 31? View market → 4% -3% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Will Tim Walz drop out by...? 11h NFC South Winner 23h #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? 3d Will Khamenei leave Iran by...? 3d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Khamenei public appearance by Friday? 7h ago Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31? 10h ago Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? 10h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $4.11M Super Bowl Champion 2026 $2.33M Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 $2.27M 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner $2.57M 2026 NBA Champion $3.79M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In NFL MVP 43d Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Paris FC - More Markets 7h Egypt vs. Benin 3h Hornets vs. Thunder 12h English Premier League Winner 141d See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026? $299.9K scottilicious "Yes" Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04? $215.7K beachboy4 "Yes" No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? $189.6K GoriIIa See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 1280 Lexington Avenue New York, NY 10028 U.S.