 |
Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're monitoring today: Starmer Out? Polymarket projects Kier Starmer will be out as UK Prime Minister this year. He is historically unpopular and it's only getting worse after his US ambassador Lord Mandelson was all over the Epstein files. How long will he last? |
 Judy Shelton Truthers Trump's comments yesterday casting doubt on the Warsh Fed pick sent Judy Shelton fans into a frenzy. Shelton, a pro-gold economist and longtime critic of the Fed, is thought to be Trump's backup if Warsh is dumped. On Polymarket, the largest holder of Shelton "Yes" is an anon wallet that began accumulating eight days ago. The wallet is already up over 100% and will turn $30k into$2,147,339.70 if they are right, a 71x return. |
| Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 70 and 80 million views on day 1? View market → | 0%-67% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? View market → | 1%-2% |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? View market → | 2%-6% |
| Bangladesh Parliamentary Election Margin of Victory | 1d |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by February 12? | 1d |
| How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for? | 2d |
| #1 song on US Spotify this week? (February 13) | 2d |
| "GOAT" Rotten Tomatoes score? | 12h ago |
| Donald Trump # Truth Social posts February 13 - February 20, 2026? | 6h ago |
| How many NYT banner headlines by Feb 28? | 13h ago |
| Hot Polymarkets | 24H Volume |
| Venezuela leader end of 2026? | $13.82M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | $6.82M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | $4.92M |
| 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion | 139d |
| English Premier League Winner | 105d |
| 2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals | 11d |
| 2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner | 11d |
Whale Moves | "No" Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | $165.7K |
| |
| "Yes" US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | $930.6K |
| |
|
64 Bleecker Street, 167 New York, NY 10012 U.S. |
|
|
|
|
|